Cogent Treasury Solutions

FX DAILY REPORT – 21 October 2024

  • The Rand opened stronger against all the majors this morning.
  • This week we can look forward to the South African CPI Inflation results being released on Wednesday morning at 10:00. SARB Governor, Lesetja Kganyago mentioned on Thursday last week that the country could move to a lower inflation target at little cost, conveying a positive economic outlook for the time being.
  • Recent comments from ECB officials indicate that they are increasingly comfortable with the Eurozone’s inflation outlook. This is supported by the last CPI release showing only 1.7% growth, 0.3% below the ECB’s inflation target. This has brought about speculation for the potential of a larger interest rate cut of 50 basis points at the next meeting.

Todays Events:

 

  • German PPI (MoM) at 8:00 – Expected to see 0.1% growth from previous 0.2% growth. PPI is typically seen as a leading indicator for future CPI results.
  • 3 Fed speeches today that could provide further insights into the Feds current economic outlook:
    • Fed Logan Speech at 14:55
    • Fed Kashkari Speech at 19:00
    • Fed Schmid Speech at 23:05