Cogent Treasury Solutions

FX DAILY REPORT – 19 September

Quote Of The Day

“If you want to fly, give up everything that weighs you down.”

 GBP/ZAREUR/ZARUSD/ZAR
Today’s Target23.1519.4917.51
Opening Buying Rate23.2819.5917.61
  • The Rand opened stronger against all the majors this morning.
  • The US Feds decided to cut interest rates by 50 basis points last night from 5.50% to 5.00%. This steep rate cut caused the USD to weaken significantly following the announcement. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell highlighted that the Fed will resume its wait-and-see approach regarding incoming economic data before deciding on further rate cuts.
  • South African CPI figures released yesterday morning, came out lower than the previous months result at 4.4% and, more importantly, lower than SARBs inflation target of 4.5%. This increases the odds that SARB will cut interest rates by 25-basis points today. Although the 25-basis point cut has already been priced in by investors, we may see some volatility in the ZAR today following the announcement at 15:00.

Todays Events:

US Existing Home Sales at 16:00 – Expected to be 3.90M from previous 3.95M. A higher than expected result can be seen as positive for the USD.

UK BoE Interest Rate Decision at 13:00 – Expected to remain the same at 5.00%. A rate cut can be seen as negative for the GBP.

US Initial Jobless Claims at 14:30 – Expected to remain the same at 230k. A than expected result can be seen as negative for the USD.

South African SARB Interest Rate Decision at 15:00 – Expected to cut to 8.00% from 8.25%. A larger cut than expected can be seen as negative for the ZAR.

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *